Research Article

Investigating the COVID19 Characteristics of the Countries Based on Time Series Clustering

Volume: 43 Number: 1 March 30, 2022
EN

Investigating the COVID19 Characteristics of the Countries Based on Time Series Clustering

Abstract

The objective of this study is to reveal the COVID19 characteristics of the countries by using time series clustering. Up to now, various studies have been conducted for similar objectives. But, it has been observed that these studies belong to early time of pandemic and are involved limited number of countries. To analyze the characteristic of COVID19 more, this study has considered 111 countries and time period between the 4th of April 2020 and the 1st of January 2021. Fuzzy K-Medoid (FKM) is preferred as clustering method due to its three abilities: i) FKM enables to determine the similarities and differences between the countries in more detail by utilizing the membership degrees, ii) In FKM, cluster centers are selected among from objects in the data set. Thus, it has the ability of detecting the countries which represent the behavior of all countries, iii) FKM is a robust method against to outliers. Thanks to this ability, FKM prevents that the countries exhibiting abnormal behavior negatively affect to the clustering results. At the results of the analyses, it is observed that 111 countries have three different behaviors in terms of confirmed cases and five different behaviors in terms of deaths.

Keywords

References

  1. [1] Imtyaz A, Haleem A, Javaid M, Analysing Governmental Response to The COVID19 Pandemic, Journal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research, 10 (2020) 504-513.
  2. [2] Zarikas V, Poulopous SG, Gareiou Z, Zervas E, Clustering Analysis of the Countries COVID19 Data Sets, Data in Brief, (2020) 31.
  3. [3] Mahmoudi MR, Baleanu D, Mansor Z, Tuan BA, Pho K, Fuzzy Clustering Method to Compare The Spread Rate of COVID19 in The High-risk Countries, Chaos, Solitions and Fractals, (2020) 140.
  4. [4] Alvarez E, Brida JG, Limas E, Comparisions of COVID19 dynamics in the different countries of the World using time series clustering, (2020), medRxiv.
  5. [5] Hutagalung J, Ginantra NLWSR, Bhawika GW, Parwita WGS, Wanto A, Panjaitan PD. COVID19 Cases and Deaths in Southeast Asia Clustering Using K-means Clustering, Annual Conference on Science and Technology Research, Journal of Physics: Conference Series, (2021) 1783.
  6. [6] Virgantari F, Faridhan YE. K-means clustering of COVID19 cases in Indonesia’s provinces, Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Optimization and Its Applications, Jakarta, Indonesia, November 21-22, (2020).
  7. [7] Rojas F, Valenzuela O, Rojas I,. Estimation of COVID19 dynamics in the different states of the United States using time series clustering, (2020), medRxiv.
  8. [8] Azarafza M, Azarafza M, Akgün H, Clustering Method for Spread Pattern Analysis of Corona-virus (COVID19) Infection in Iran, Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education, 3(1) (2021).

Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Statistics

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

March 30, 2022

Submission Date

July 10, 2021

Acceptance Date

March 5, 2022

Published in Issue

Year 2022 Volume: 43 Number: 1

APA
Yalçın, M. O., Güler Dincer, N., & İşçi Güneri, Ö. (2022). Investigating the COVID19 Characteristics of the Countries Based on Time Series Clustering. Cumhuriyet Science Journal, 43(1), 146-164. https://doi.org/10.17776/csj.969445

Cited By

As of 2026, Cumhuriyet Science Journal will be published in six issues per year, released in February, April, June, August, October, and December